Archive for category variable costs

Credit and equity prices and volatility

Generally, equity-based models for credits have to be analyzed in the context of the leverage cycle. When the level of debt remains constant, equity as well as credit investors both benefit from rising equity prices, driven, for example, by increasing earnings estimates. When leverage is rising like, for instance, between 1997 and 2000, equities tend to perform well while credit spreads widen at the same time. Conversely, deleveraging through rights issues or asset disposals, cost cutting and dividend cuts provide a favorable environment for credit, but not for equities. As Figure 3.24 shows, there is undoubtedly a relationship between equity prices and credit spreads. Yet, this relationship varies over time, depending on the current and the expected fundamental environment in the future.

Models that only relate credit spreads to equity prices therefore need to be interpreted cautiously. Assume, for example that the management of a company signals its willingness to concentrate on the creation of shareholder value. Then the probability of leveraging increases substantially. If there has been no decoupling, credit investors should take that as a sign to be rather bearish.

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The fundamentals of credit valuation

Besides market fundamentals valuation is the major driver of market performance for the longer term. The other two drivers that are commonly mentioned in investment literature, technicals and market sentiment, are more likely to explain short- to medium-term fluctuations of credit spreads.

The subject of valuation arises on every level of the investment process. Generally, it is a question of relative attractiveness of one investment vis-avis another one. In this chapter, we will outline four approaches that may support asset allocation decisions in fixed income portfolios with an aggregate benchmark as well as help to determine the beta of a pure credit portfolio.

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Managers’ Great Expectations and Accounting

The essence of managerial expectations is found in what’s called basic accounting ARTS—meaning that in reporting financial data, the accounting function should be Accurate, Relevant, Timely, and Simple.

Given the important role of accounting, it only stands to reason that managers have certain expectations of the accounting function, including the following basic principles:

The accounting system must accurately reflect the company’s current financial condition. And it must do so in a timely fashion.

The system must be clear, logical, and easy to use. Information should be understandable to all company officers and executive staff without the need for complex interpretation by the accountant.

The system must provide useful information that officers and staff can use in making decisions and achieving the company’s goals.

But even if the company’s accountants are the best in the world, it won’t matter much if the nonfinancial managers around them basically take the information in their reports and file it away—either horizontally or vertically—because they don’t have much idea how the numbers were generated or what they mean.

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Word About Costs When Creating a Budget Plan – part 2

Variable costs are a little different and allow you some budgeting flexibility. These are costs that fluctuate directly with the amount of business you support. Variable costs—costs that are business-dependent—include supply of goods and materials and, to some degree, part-time labor necessary to keep the business operating apace with demand.

Semi-variable costs are expenses with components that are fixed and components that are variable. For example, telephone expenses are semi-variable costs in that the monthly service charge is fixed and the charges for long-distance calls and the 800 number are variable.

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