Archive for category market demand
Synergy between various types of credit
Posted by admin in manufacturing, market demand, market forecasts, marketing, material costs on April 17th, 2010
Now that you’ve formalized your partnership—and are in a position to capitalize on it—start planning for the future. Strategic planning is the best way for partners to envision what will happen in the next few years.When partners plan together strategically, the synergy created is enormous. And the outcome is something your competitors can’t replicate because it exists only in the context of your partnership. No matter how hard they try, they cannot re-create that unique set of dynamics that is uniquely yours.
Some time ago I witnessed an example of this type of partnership synergy. At the time, I was participating in a workshop for a multimember partnership including the National Highway Safety Board, the California Department of Transportation, several automobile manufacturers, and some computer and software designers. They are dedicated to increasing auto safety and using technology to improve efficiencies. Their vision is to create a systemto provide interaction between the automobile and the road to enhance safety and performance. Electronic sensors embedded in the road surface will monitor traffic, surface conditions, and other useful information and relay it to the driver via a computer in the car. This data will be projected via a dashboard monitor or onto the windshield and also signal the optimum speed the car should be traveling under these conditions. Such a system could also indicate alternate routes should there be traffic delays or other obstacles.
The ratio of sales to loans and assets
Posted by admin in Business plans, Companies, Money Tips, Taxes, communication, market demand, market forecasts, profit margin, understanding finances on October 28th, 2009
The ratio of sales to assets is an asset turnover ratio that measures the sales-generating capacity of a given asset base. Taking the nominal GDP of the nonfinancial corporate sector as a measure for sales. The ratio has started to turn up at the beginning of 2001. This pattern is normally consistent with periods of recovery. However, it should be noted that this ratio is near its historical low. The z-score for the nonfinancial corporate sector has collapsed dramatically since 2000, resting well below the critical level of 1.8 since the second quarter of 2002. For an individual firm this signals that the company is likely to fail within 2 years. On the macro level it indicates a high probability of rising default rates and widening credit spreads. Three points stand out:
- based on macroeconomic data the z-score has never been in the safe zone;
- the average score since 1952 is about 2;
- in the 1970s and 1980s, the z-score was permanently in the distress zone implying that corporate America should have gone bankrupt, but clearly it survived.
This leads to the conclusion that the weighting scheme is no longer appropriate to capture the vulnerability of the corporate sector. The relative importance of the individual factors changes over time. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust the weighting scheme on a regular basis, for example by using a regression methodology.
The ratio of credit earnings before tax, interest depreciation
Posted by admin in Companies, Investment Opportunities, budget, fixed costs, management skills, manufacturing, market demand, production cycles, profit margin on October 27th, 2009
A second metric for profitability is the ratio of earnings before tax, interest depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) to total assets. Using data from the national accounts of the United States we define earnings before tax and interest as pre-tax profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment plus net interest. This metric follows a similar path as the ratio of retained earnings to total assets, although on a higher level and with a higher volatility.
Measuring the extent to which a firm’s value can decline before its book value becomes negative and a firm becomes insolvent, the ratio of market value of equity to total debt represents the inverse of leverage. We have defined the value of equity as the market value of outstanding equities, total debt is defined as total credit market instruments. The tremendous equity bubble of the late 1990s has collapsed, but nevertheless the equity-to-debt ratio stays above the level reached in the 1970s and 1980s. Because of its higher volatility, the ratio is largely driven by the equity performance. As a result the equity-to-debt ratio usually rises at the end of a recession because equity markets already
anticipate stronger economic growth while many companies still deleverage their balance sheets. Here again, the 2001 recession makes an exception.
About one-and-a-half years after the end of the recession in November 2001 equity markets finally marked their lows.
Basics of accounting – part 1
Posted by admin in communication, financial information, incentive, liability, market demand, ownership, paperwork, understanding finances on August 3rd, 2009
Credits and debits come into play in double-entry or dual-entry accounting, a method by which each transaction is entered twice—once as a credit and once as a debit—on the balance sheet and/or the income statement. That’s how the financial statement stays in balance.
Credits always appear on the right-hand side of T accounts. They represent an increase in items such as business liability, owners’ equity, and revenue accounts, or a decrease in assets.
Debits are always listed on the left-hand side of T accounts. They represent an increase in asset and expense accounts, or a decrease in liabilities.
Understanding Debits and Credits – part 2
Posted by admin in Investment Opportunities, market demand, ownership, paperwork, profit margin, short-term income on August 3rd, 2009
Company financial operations also generate two other accounting statements:
Income statement—a summary of business revenue and expenses for a specific period of time.
Statement of owners’ equity—a record of the value or percentage of ownership held by individuals or firms with a stake in the business.
The primary purpose of all such statements is to help keep the company finances in balance. To that end, all debits must equal credits and all credits must equal debits when reflected on the balance sheet and income statement. If they don’t, the balance sheet won’t balance.
Your accountants may also generate another statement, for cash flow. We’ll discuss cash flow later; for now, all you need to know is that while the income statement and the statement of owners’ equity show the state of finances, the cash flow statement tells how the company reached that state. In essence, it accounts for how cash came in and how it went out.
The Management Function in Budgeting – part 2
Posted by admin in incentive, market demand, material costs, performance objectives, profit projections on August 2nd, 2009
Shipping/Delivery seems to have climbed precipitously in the last year. Why? Clearly, this is a case where vendor price had exceeded market value. It may be a case of a long-term supplier who has gotten used to raising its prices a certain percentage each year with little incentive to remain competitive. Management should review any contracted relationship with the vendor and check the last three years’ delivery and shipping charges to note the percentage increase. Chances are it’s time to put the service out for competitive bid.
There are dozens of questions that can and should be raised, but the preceding three make the point: Setting up the budget is only half the task. The document must then be put through management scrutiny, not only to check the accuracy of its numbers and suppositions, but also to raise those issues that will enable the company to be more efficient and cost-effective.
If these questions aren’t part of the budget creation, then management is doing only half its job.
The Management Function in Budgeting – part 1
Posted by admin in budget, effective budgeting, equity, market demand, market forecasts on August 2nd, 2009
A budget is not a budget until it has been carefully scrutinized by management. Even if the numbers add up correctly, they may not have been estimated properly. It’s middle-management’s job to assemble the budget, but it’s upper-management’s job to question the budget. They do this because the budget is the financial tool that will guide the organization in the coming year. Not only does it need to be accurate, it needs to be well-considered and realistic.
In our example, the company missed the mark rather dramatically, showing a profit margin 22 percent less than the one projected in the budget. What questions should management ask?
Why is the projected actual so far off from the budgeted amount? Perhaps it was the fault of the budgetingprocess being too optimistic or of a budget based on considerations unrealistic to the current situation. Perhaps there was a significant change in market conditions or materials costs. In any of these scenarios, management needs to understand why before it can accurately assess the new year’s budget.
Production costs for Units A, B, and C do not match their profit scenario. What gives? It may be that the unit production varies and standardization needs to be applied. If a more costly unit is not earning more exponentially, it may mean that (a) the unit is improperly priced, or (b) demand has slacked off and there’s too much inventory left in the warehouse. In either case, management must look at production standards and market demand before budgeting unit-production figures for the new year.