Archive for category expenditures

Measure for mortgage profitability

A common measure for profitability is the ratio of retained earnings to total assets. We defined retained earnings as undistributed profits, that is, after-tax profits minus dividend payments. Like the working capital ratio, the profitability measure is on a downtrend in the longer term. During recessions the profitability of the companies usually declines. It is worth noting that the latest recession in 2001 marks an exception with respect to the ratio of internal funds to total assets. Whereas the profitability declined like in any other recession before, the cash flows of the companies on average improved in this period due to rigorous cost cutting in the corporate sector.

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Changes in credit quality

With regard to the above-mentioned problems, rating migrations seem to be a more reliable indicator of changes in credit quality than default rates. Given that the risks of downgrade as well as default vary over time, the question is whether credit spreads compensate investors adequately.

Since the sample for the calculation of rating transition matrices is much broader than for default rates, they are less likely to be biased by changes of the rating agencies’ universe. To measure changes of credit quality over time, the ratings drift, that is the number of upgrades minus the number of downgrades, as a proportion of the total number of entities rated, can be a valuable indicator. A sample of high-quality issuers, however, will tend to have more downgrades than upgrades, and vice versa. Hence, variations of the ratings drift partly reflect changes in average credit quality over time.

As one would expect, credit spreads tend to rise when the ratio of upgrades to downgrades becomes worse.

The question, however, is, whether the credit spreads widen enough to compensate investors sufficiently for the  deterioration of average credit quality that is reflected by a falling ratings drift. While predicting the direction of spread changes may help to make money on a mark-to-market basis, it is not adequate for buy-and-hold investors. They have to estimate the magnitude of the spread widening that corresponds to an observed deterioration of credit quality. Hence, the focus is purely on credit risk, while credit spreads also incorporate liquidity premia, and are influenced by technical factors and market sentiment.

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Basics of accounting – part 2

Why do accountants use the double-entry system? Well, we could explain how the system is based logically on the principle of duality, because all activities with any economic significance have two aspects—resources and uses, work and reward, loss and gain. Or we could simply point out that recording every transaction twice dramatically reduces the chance of error. The bottom line is that the system works, although it occasionally seems to defy common sense. Don’t expect to understand it all completely now. Our discussion of the general ledger and subledgers should help make more sense of debits and credits.

The most common structure for financial documents, based on the need to distinguish between debits and credits, is the T account diagram. The left side of the T represents debits and the right side of the T represents credits. In the accounting process, a figure is recorded as a debit (left side) or as a credit (right side) depending on how the transaction affects that particular account.

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Budget Components – part 2

The revenue section’s real job is to measure revenue projections—what the company thinks its going to earn through all its sources throughout the cycle of the budget—so that it may balance expenses against them. Unless there is a sound strategic reason for it, a business without a positive bottom line won’t likely be a business very long. Expenses may be higher than revenues in certain months, but the goal is always to make sure revenues exceed expenses by the end of the year.

When it comes to the expense side of a budget, the more detail that can be included within reason, the more accurate a view the budget will provide of the firm’s financial condition. More important, managers will be able to control cash flow better when they have a deeper level of information at their fingertips.

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Stepping into the Budgeting Process – part 1

Like any plan, a budget requires more than sitting down, crunching out some numbers that add up to a positive bottom line, and handing it over to the accounting department to plug in. Effective budgeting requires thought, careful planning, and a look at issues beyond the numbers. Consider the following components when you budget:

Be careful how the budget is created. Department managers who are strictly concerned with the bottom line may, just to look good, cut out expenses that are vital for the department to operate effectively. That’s not an effective way to do a budget.

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Defining Budget Type – part 3

One of the major facets of budgeting is cost control, and that’s also one of the major responsibilities of company managers. Budgets are the key to cost control, but only when managers have had a hand in developing those budgets. If management doesn’t understand and use the budget, it will do a company no good. Involve all pertinent staff in the budgeting process. That allows them greater ownership of the process and enables them to better stay with the budget they’ve helped develop.

Strategic budgets help a company decide whether to invest in a business venture that may take several years to become profitable. A management consulting firm, for example, might be considering whether to develop a software division. A strategic budget would help it figure out (1) whether over the long haul this made good sense, and (2) how long it will take before the venture pays off.

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Defining Budget Type – part 2

Longer business cycles require longer-lived budgets. Even though they may be subject to review and revisions, some items or operations unfold more fully over a longer time period. This results in a longer-term or strategic budget. While the operational budget anticipates financial flow for a year or less, the strategic budget reacts more intrinsically with a company’s long-term business plan. The net effect may be a less precise, but more comprehensive approach to financial management.

Not all companies need to create a strategic budget. Your company may be one of those happy to project from year to year, knowing that retained earnings and reserves may be all you need to set the stage for the subsequent year’s financial growth. On the other hand, if the company is involved in major capital acquisition that will depreciate over time, includes extensive research and development that runs up expenses for years before any revenue might be realized from the project, or involves extensive investment plans that will take several years to bear fruit, then a strategic budget may be more appropriate.

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Defining Budget Type – part 1

Budgets, like business plans, come in different makes and models depending on the purpose for which a company wants to use them. If its purpose is to plan strategies for the future, the company uses a long-term budget to set general goals for the next five or ten years. If its purpose is to plan the details of its operations, the company prepares a short-term budget, generally for a single year, to translate its goals into financial terms. Whether a budget is long-range or short-range, smart managers will revise them periodically, as conditions change.

The one-year budget is most commonly known as an operational budget, designed to help a company or the departments within that company get through one more year of sales and production cycles with some semblance of financial success. The 12-month time frame does make the budget somewhat strategic in nature, but by and large its purpose is to anticipate and plan for coming issues and trends within the business year.

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The Budget: Definition – part 2

Although time periods vary, 12 months is the most common
thinking at best. Anything shorter, while useful, may not anticipate all the bumps in the road a business will face.
The budget your family kept when you were young revolved around savings and expenditures, charting the ebb and flow of resources and supplies. When it comes to a company’s budget, things grow a little more complicated, but the
principles are the same. Budgets predict sales and other revenue (income) and production and operating costs (expenses), and the difference between the two (the company’s profit or loss). The budget is the tool for estimating those numbers, and hopefully help managers prevent losses. And, working in tandem or as part of the business plan, it sets goals for either or both.
Budgeting is that simple. And it’s that important.

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