Archive for category communication
A joint strategic planning of credit
Posted by admin in Business plans, bonds, budget, business, communication on February 15th, 2010
Everything you’ve done up to this point has been focused on getting you to the full partnership stage. You and your partner have worked hard together, navigating the Stages of Relationship Development to produce trust and mutual benefits. You’ve also engaged in the steps necessary to accomplish a task in order to determine the partnership’s worth. You’ve used the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle to continuously improve the task and relationship dynamics of your partnership.
You’ve seen the partnership move from a past to a future orientation. The final two stages will feel almost anticlimactic. This is a good thing. You’ve worked so hard to increase your Partnering Intelligence that by the time you’re prepared to make a commitment and move to full partnership it will feel like the only logical step. The only thing that stands between you and full partnership is one more task: to conduct a joint strategic planning session in order to solidify your future vision and spell out the plans to get you there. Your partnership is now in the Commit Stage of Partnership Development. You have achieved the trust and communication needed to help you maximize the synergy. You have identified the mutual benefits that the partnership provides. Having managed the changing dynamics of the relationship and its impact on each organization, you are now positioned to perform.
Learn how to value corporate credit
Posted by admin in Business plans, Companies, bonds, budget, business, communication, consulting on October 29th, 2009
One of the most widely used indicators to value corporate credit is the equity market. The Merton model formalizes the relationship between leverage, equity prices, equity volatility and credit spreads. While the model permits an assessment of the relative valuation of equity and credit, it makes no explicit statement about which of the markets is currently priced correctly, or if both markets are in disequilibrium. In addition, focusing solely on equity prices and volatility neglects the effects of changes in leverage. However, equity-market performance contains information about the future state of the economy, the future cash flows and risk premium in the market. Stronger cash generation benefits corporate bonds since creditworthiness improves and the required risk premium is lower. Furthermore, as the equity cushion increases through rising equity prices and more IPOs and equity volatility decreases, default probabilities and spread levels tend to fall.
The ratio of sales to loans and assets
Posted by admin in Business plans, Companies, Money Tips, Taxes, communication, market demand, market forecasts, profit margin, understanding finances on October 28th, 2009
The ratio of sales to assets is an asset turnover ratio that measures the sales-generating capacity of a given asset base. Taking the nominal GDP of the nonfinancial corporate sector as a measure for sales. The ratio has started to turn up at the beginning of 2001. This pattern is normally consistent with periods of recovery. However, it should be noted that this ratio is near its historical low. The z-score for the nonfinancial corporate sector has collapsed dramatically since 2000, resting well below the critical level of 1.8 since the second quarter of 2002. For an individual firm this signals that the company is likely to fail within 2 years. On the macro level it indicates a high probability of rising default rates and widening credit spreads. Three points stand out:
- based on macroeconomic data the z-score has never been in the safe zone;
- the average score since 1952 is about 2;
- in the 1970s and 1980s, the z-score was permanently in the distress zone implying that corporate America should have gone bankrupt, but clearly it survived.
This leads to the conclusion that the weighting scheme is no longer appropriate to capture the vulnerability of the corporate sector. The relative importance of the individual factors changes over time. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust the weighting scheme on a regular basis, for example by using a regression methodology.
Changes in credit quality
Posted by admin in Financial Advice, bonds, business, communication, consulting, economy, expenditures on October 22nd, 2009
With regard to the above-mentioned problems, rating migrations seem to be a more reliable indicator of changes in credit quality than default rates. Given that the risks of downgrade as well as default vary over time, the question is whether credit spreads compensate investors adequately.
Since the sample for the calculation of rating transition matrices is much broader than for default rates, they are less likely to be biased by changes of the rating agencies’ universe. To measure changes of credit quality over time, the ratings drift, that is the number of upgrades minus the number of downgrades, as a proportion of the total number of entities rated, can be a valuable indicator. A sample of high-quality issuers, however, will tend to have more downgrades than upgrades, and vice versa. Hence, variations of the ratings drift partly reflect changes in average credit quality over time.
As one would expect, credit spreads tend to rise when the ratio of upgrades to downgrades becomes worse.
The question, however, is, whether the credit spreads widen enough to compensate investors sufficiently for the deterioration of average credit quality that is reflected by a falling ratings drift. While predicting the direction of spread changes may help to make money on a mark-to-market basis, it is not adequate for buy-and-hold investors. They have to estimate the magnitude of the spread widening that corresponds to an observed deterioration of credit quality. Hence, the focus is purely on credit risk, while credit spreads also incorporate liquidity premia, and are influenced by technical factors and market sentiment.
Do you have any business owning stocks?
Posted by admin in Companies, communication, economy, fixed costs on August 28th, 2009
At the micro level, a stock is an ownership interest in a business. The earnings from the business belong to the stockholders. Theoretically, the employees of the business, including top management, work for the stockholders.
In practice, the employees are self-interested. Every employee, from the CEO to the janitorial crew, wants as large a piece of the earnings as possible, leaving as little for you as can be justified. You may have emotional difficulty with this built-in conflict of interest.
Elaborate schemes are routinely employed to siphon off your interests. In the old days, two-thirds of profits were paid out as dividends, giving you direct control of a large portion of earnings. Today, dividends are cut or eliminated so employees can use profits as they see fit. Fewer than half of today’s stocks pay any dividends at all. Every year the number of dividend payers declines. Even those that pay dividends pay only token amounts. Instead, employees grant themselves raises and bonuses without consulting shareholders. Insider boards of directors grant themselves profit-sharing plans, stock, and stock options, all to your deficit. Board remuneration committees offer excessive pay for executives in exchange for excessive pay for themselves.
The few profits that are left are often squandered on ill-advised acquisitions and other schemes. Hundreds of examples could be cited including the recent debacles at Enron, Lucent, Rite Aid, Millennium, Color Tile, Dow Chemical, Sunbeam, Trump Hotels & Casinos, Reliance Groups, and many Internet, tech, and telecom firms that crashed in 2000-2001.
Basics of accounting – part 1
Posted by admin in communication, financial information, incentive, liability, market demand, ownership, paperwork, understanding finances on August 3rd, 2009
Credits and debits come into play in double-entry or dual-entry accounting, a method by which each transaction is entered twice—once as a credit and once as a debit—on the balance sheet and/or the income statement. That’s how the financial statement stays in balance.
Credits always appear on the right-hand side of T accounts. They represent an increase in items such as business liability, owners’ equity, and revenue accounts, or a decrease in assets.
Debits are always listed on the left-hand side of T accounts. They represent an increase in asset and expense accounts, or a decrease in liabilities.
Understanding Debits and Credits – part 1
Posted by admin in Business plans, Companies, communication, consulting, understanding finances on August 3rd, 2009
You’ll find in subsequent chapters that the accounting function has many steps and components. Although they may vary in complexity, all bookkeeping and accounting systems are essentially the same.
The concept behind accounting, what makes it more than merely adding and subtracting, revolves around a basic core consisting of debits and credits. This is an accounting system’s soul, and understanding it will help managers better handle their share of responsibility for the firm’s finances.
In some ways, debits and credits are more complex in theory than in practice. Debits and credits form the basis of all accounting functions, including the company’s balance sheet. They are the two types of activity that can affect any financial account of any type— assets, liabilities, equity, income, or expenses.
The balance sheet is one of the primary accounting statements for any company. It’s a list of assets, liabilities, and owners’ equity—ownership value, if you will—in the business as of a specific date, usually the end of the financial month or fiscal year. Its ultimate goal is to keep all accounts in balance.
What’s So Important About Accounting? – part 2
Posted by admin in communication, incentive, management skills, paperwork, performance objectives, production cycles on August 2nd, 2009
In the dark recesses of their numerical souls, even some accountants may worry that their function is only a necessary evil, an overhead expense that in some organizations is no more than a glorified bookkeeping function. Not so. Sales, manufacturing, research and development, and management all generate raw financial data through their various activities. It’s up to accountants to turn that data into useful information.
A good accounting function—whether in a large company headed by a highly trained chief financial officer (CFO) or a small company with a bookkeeper—produces and communicates information. This information shows department heads how they’re spending the company’s money and whether they’re getting the results they want. Sure, accountants are still number-crunchers and bean-counters, but the true value of what they do is in how they interpret and present the results of all that crunching and counting.
Plain and simple, a company’s accountants, whoever they may be, are guides to its finances. The way this group or this individual organizes figures and turns it into meaningful information provides the measures that help determine the success or failure of the company. Understanding those measures may make all the difference between the manager who’s a well-rounded professional and the manager who’s just another specialist with little sense of the larger financial implications of his or her decisions.