Archive for category business
A joint strategic planning of credit
Posted by admin in Business plans, bonds, budget, business, communication on February 15th, 2010
Everything you’ve done up to this point has been focused on getting you to the full partnership stage. You and your partner have worked hard together, navigating the Stages of Relationship Development to produce trust and mutual benefits. You’ve also engaged in the steps necessary to accomplish a task in order to determine the partnership’s worth. You’ve used the Plan–Do–Check–Act cycle to continuously improve the task and relationship dynamics of your partnership.
You’ve seen the partnership move from a past to a future orientation. The final two stages will feel almost anticlimactic. This is a good thing. You’ve worked so hard to increase your Partnering Intelligence that by the time you’re prepared to make a commitment and move to full partnership it will feel like the only logical step. The only thing that stands between you and full partnership is one more task: to conduct a joint strategic planning session in order to solidify your future vision and spell out the plans to get you there. Your partnership is now in the Commit Stage of Partnership Development. You have achieved the trust and communication needed to help you maximize the synergy. You have identified the mutual benefits that the partnership provides. Having managed the changing dynamics of the relationship and its impact on each organization, you are now positioned to perform.
Learn how to value corporate credit
Posted by admin in Business plans, Companies, bonds, budget, business, communication, consulting on October 29th, 2009
One of the most widely used indicators to value corporate credit is the equity market. The Merton model formalizes the relationship between leverage, equity prices, equity volatility and credit spreads. While the model permits an assessment of the relative valuation of equity and credit, it makes no explicit statement about which of the markets is currently priced correctly, or if both markets are in disequilibrium. In addition, focusing solely on equity prices and volatility neglects the effects of changes in leverage. However, equity-market performance contains information about the future state of the economy, the future cash flows and risk premium in the market. Stronger cash generation benefits corporate bonds since creditworthiness improves and the required risk premium is lower. Furthermore, as the equity cushion increases through rising equity prices and more IPOs and equity volatility decreases, default probabilities and spread levels tend to fall.
Measure for mortgage profitability
Posted by admin in Financial Advice, Global Markets, bonds, budget, business, expenditures, finances, fixed costs, incentive on October 26th, 2009
A common measure for profitability is the ratio of retained earnings to total assets. We defined retained earnings as undistributed profits, that is, after-tax profits minus dividend payments. Like the working capital ratio, the profitability measure is on a downtrend in the longer term. During recessions the profitability of the companies usually declines. It is worth noting that the latest recession in 2001 marks an exception with respect to the ratio of internal funds to total assets. Whereas the profitability declined like in any other recession before, the cash flows of the companies on average improved in this period due to rigorous cost cutting in the corporate sector.
Changes in credit quality
Posted by admin in Financial Advice, bonds, business, communication, consulting, economy, expenditures on October 22nd, 2009
With regard to the above-mentioned problems, rating migrations seem to be a more reliable indicator of changes in credit quality than default rates. Given that the risks of downgrade as well as default vary over time, the question is whether credit spreads compensate investors adequately.
Since the sample for the calculation of rating transition matrices is much broader than for default rates, they are less likely to be biased by changes of the rating agencies’ universe. To measure changes of credit quality over time, the ratings drift, that is the number of upgrades minus the number of downgrades, as a proportion of the total number of entities rated, can be a valuable indicator. A sample of high-quality issuers, however, will tend to have more downgrades than upgrades, and vice versa. Hence, variations of the ratings drift partly reflect changes in average credit quality over time.
As one would expect, credit spreads tend to rise when the ratio of upgrades to downgrades becomes worse.
The question, however, is, whether the credit spreads widen enough to compensate investors sufficiently for the deterioration of average credit quality that is reflected by a falling ratings drift. While predicting the direction of spread changes may help to make money on a mark-to-market basis, it is not adequate for buy-and-hold investors. They have to estimate the magnitude of the spread widening that corresponds to an observed deterioration of credit quality. Hence, the focus is purely on credit risk, while credit spreads also incorporate liquidity premia, and are influenced by technical factors and market sentiment.
The correlation between credit spreads and the business cycle
Posted by admin in bonds, business, credit, credit cards, economy, finances, payday loans on October 21st, 2009
Fama and Chen examine the correlation between credit spreads and the business cycle. They find empirical evidence that corporate bond spreads are good predictors of future economic growth. Based on empirical data from 1933 to 1997, a recent study by Koopman and Lucas (2003) reveals two different types of cycles. On the one hand, there is a cycle with a frequency of about 6 years, where a positive correlation between credit spreads and default rates, and a negative correlation between spreads and economic growth can be observed. On the other hand, a second cycle with a duration of about 11 years shows a positive link between spreads and business failures, and a negative correlation between GDP growth and both spreads and default rates. However, constraining the analysis on the post Second World War era no significant correlations between credit spreads, default rates and the business cycle could be found.